I'll be honest and say I don't know exactly. I know that is a lot of data and variables to make everything fit to scale on one graph. Most of his models aren't quite that busy and easier for me to understand. If you have FB, you really should friend the guy. He is teaching a class and then he is going to update his NY model later today. I'm pretty interested in those updated results.
COVID-19 Links, facts and discussion. Politics and hyperbole welcome.
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I'll be honest and say I don't know exactly. I know that is a lot of data and variables to make everything fit to scale on one graph. Most of his models aren't quite that busy and easier for me to understand. If you have FB, you really should friend the guy. He is teaching a class and then he is going to update his NY model later today. I'm pretty interested in those updated results.
Will the Coronavirus Ever Go Away? Here's What One of the WHO's Top Experts Thinks — TIME
Aylward is one of the World Health Organization’s top officials in charge of fighting the coronavirus pandemic
huronmtns
Well-known member
Todays Mayo clinic update:
CiK
Well-known member
He updates around 9pm every night. Now don't all you guys go and bother him on Facebook. I need him focused.
CiK
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Peak cases per day. We had 10,000 new cases today.
Northwoods Labs
Well-known member
I really appreciate you telling us about him! I've been looking all over for some up to date models. I'm going to keep looking for others. I'd like to see how different number experts interpret and model the data. But his is by far the best I've seen so far. I'm sure there are many analytic types with much time on their hands during this shut down. Wonder why this type of modeling is so difficult to find?
CiK
Well-known member
Don't know. I have been looking too. Go back to post 113 on this thread. I posted about his work then (March 15th). I was looking for the same thing you are and I still haven't found it. That March 15th post showed 1500 deaths total. A week later and its around 1400. Praying the policies in place keep that holding true.
406dn
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If I was a betting person, we are going to exceed 1400 deaths. Basically we're a third of the way there after today.
Especially after the president has tipped his hand that he will not sustain the effort to flatten the curve.
Especially after the president has tipped his hand that he will not sustain the effort to flatten the curve.
MtnRambler
Active member
Sorry if this is a repeat, but I haven’t seen it posted. Pretty interesting data visualization by country and state:
91-divoc.com
An interactive visualization of COVID-19 | 91-DIVOC
An interactive, data-forward visualization of COVID-19 data by Prof. Wade at The University of Illinois. Updated daily.
91-divoc.com
Frank concedes that NY could have more than 1400 by itself. NY is actually modeling at 1700 by itself at the moment. But the country as a whole is modeling about 1400 With all states combined. NYC is an outlier right now. But I bet he ends up fairly close in a couple weeks.
Cheesehead
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Please tell me it’s true that he’s logged off or been banned for good. Us Cheeseheads are such great, kind, beer- and cheese-loving people and hated him for bringing shame upon us all...
He’s probably still looking for that Idaho elk tag @TheTone asked him about.
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick: 'I'm all in' on risking my health to lift social distancing guidelines for economic boost — CNN Politics
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick said Monday night that he's "not living in fear" of the novel coronavirus pandemic and is "all in" on lifting social distancing guidelines recommended by public health experts in order to help the economy.
ImBillT
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Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick: 'I'm all in' on risking my health to lift social distancing guidelines for economic boost — CNN Politics
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick said Monday night that he's "not living in fear" of the novel coronavirus pandemic and is "all in" on lifting social distancing guidelines recommended by public health experts in order to help the economy.apple.news
It’s a shame he’s my Lt. Gov. instead my mayor. May have just been put out of work for a while.
‘Our country wasn’t built to be shut down’: Trump pushes back against health experts — POLITICO
The president appears eager to end stringent “social distancing” guidelines for the coronavirus pandemic.
‘It’s going to get bad’: As outbreak surges, nation faces tough start to a grim week — The Washington Post
For the first time, the U.S. on Monday reported more than 100 coronavirus-related deaths in a single day
100 people died today. I fear the next couple of weeks will be grim in terms of the death toll, as the number of fatalities rises with the spike in cases we are seeing right now.
From Craig A. Spencer, the Director of Global Health in Emergency Medicine at New York-Presbyterian/Columbia University Medical Center.
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