We just might want to at least listen to a Stanford biochemist who won the Nobel Prize in chemistry for developing complex models. He knows a little about how to evaluate numbers
Why this Nobel laureate predicts a quicker coronavirus recovery: 'We're going to be fine'
A Nobel laureate predicted China's recovery weeks before it happened. Analyzing the numbers, he sees a much brighter global outcome than many experts.news.yahoo.com
I hope he keeps nailing his predictions!
COVID-19 Links, facts and discussion. Politics and hyperbole welcome.
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The Hedgehog
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Why read stuff like this when you can catch the CNN headlines - with all the panic and blame?Why this Nobel laureate predicts a quicker coronavirus recovery: 'We're going to be fine'
A Nobel laureate predicted China's recovery weeks before it happened. Analyzing the numbers, he sees a much brighter global outcome than many experts.
I hope he keeps nailing his predictions!
The Hedgehog
Well-known member
The new virus “captivates people”
there’s good things that come with the Information Age, but I really think some of the media outlets are very destructive with respect to it.
there’s good things that come with the Information Age, but I really think some of the media outlets are very destructive with respect to it.
406dn
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Like many other families, we are refraining from seeing our kids and grandkids. Under normal circumstances, we see them weekly, at least.
It is the right thing to do on many levels. Not only do I not want to catch the virus from them. I really don't want them thinking they are the person who gave us the virus.
Straight Arrow
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Grandson and his cousin (boys on wilderness log raft in another thread) are HS seniors just back from a spring break in Mexico, now in self-quarantine. They came over to go fishing on the Gallatin, then sat across the campfire from us. no hugs at this time. I have adopted the Asian show of affection and respect by bowing to others at a physical distance, preferably from across the campfire pit.
CiK
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I wish the article shared more data.
I fear of inundating him by posting his Facebook page, but he models global and regional and posts it up daily. He is President at a precision analytical company and Math & Science Chair at the The Schilling School for Gifted Children in Ohio.
I like looking at his numbers vs looking at the headlines.
Thanks Cik! This is what I like to see. Number experts evaluating the numbers. Not just media/gov types that have an agenda. I've mentioned hurricane models a couple of times because I think most are folks are familiar with seeing them on the news. I'd love to see, say the top 10 analytic guys in the world post their corona models on a "hurricane" graph and see where all the squiggly lines say we are headed. It wouldn't be exact but I think it would be something that would help give a realistic expectation to the public and off of which the gov could make more accurate policy decisions.
I too wish the article above had shared more data.
Nameless Range
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We are Facetiming my folks daily so they can talk to the kids.
That's interesting. I hope he is right. I appreciate people who make predictions.
Theoretically we will find out in less than a week.
That's interesting. I hope he is right. I appreciate people who make predictions.
Theoretically we will find out in less than a week.
ImBillT
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They are up to 17 today after only ten yesterday. I would not be surprised to see a spike.
I suspect that they are early in their timeline compared to Italy, just as we are, and that their total case number is high due to widespread testing.
I've heard they have just mainly tested more. Which will in turn give you a more accurate sample. I don't know the facts but I've heard a couple folks saying that Germany is one of the best at collecting data and that is a big part of it.
Germany has 17 deaths from the prior day. 111 total. I agree they may see spike in deaths. Lots of factors too. More testing on live folks and likely all deaths are being tested for corona now. Where before that may not have been the case.
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3855WIN
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This was irresponsible of Bullard. I may kill a Booner next season. Probably not, though.
3855WIN
Well-known member
Germans are extremely efficient in all that they do. I imagine they know how to run a hospital.
Three months? One heck of a mentally tough lady! Wishing you and your family the best! Wishing all families in this situation the best!
My wife drops off items to her parents vs their own travel into town for shopping, etc. They keep a buffer though enjoy their chats.
Modern video conferencing is a great resource! An added value to view family and embrace their gestures.
Best health care in the world per capita and so far fairly low per million infection rate.
jryoung
Well-known member
Is he saying peak cases of 20,000 on 3/28? We're well past 20,000 already, what (obvious) thing am I missing here?
BigHornRam
Well-known member
If your poop stops stinking, you might want to get tested. 
www.sciencealert.com
Sudden Loss of Smell Could Indicate 'Hidden Carriers' of Coronavirus, Say UK Experts
Anyone experiencing a sudden loss of smell could be a "hidden carrier" of the coronavirus, even if they have no other symptoms, according to evidence compiled by leading rhinologists in the UK.
www.sciencealert.com
20K per day
CDC reports 12est Monday-Friday. This is the most recent release. Maybe I'm not following or maybe the news is reporting projections before CDC announcement. The model is based on U.S.
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