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Nice graph...
Montana is big state with a low population, low population density, and very few "big" cities.
A good portion of Montana residents have been "social distancing" their entire lives.
Snapshot of one state doesn't mean much to me, in particular when put into context.
For MT folk:
65 COVID-19 cases now confirmed in Montana
www.kbzk.com
You may be right and time will tell. I have conceded that it could be off 10 fold but I bet it isn't. That would be better than what most experts predicted. I haven't seen very many "experts" willing to post their models. But they sure like to tell us how much they know. I'll keep posting the best, up to date, most reliable data I can find. You do the same bud. I think our community deserves that. God bless.This model is already proven to be wrong. He has the deaths per day peaking at about 90 deaths per day. Yesterday the deaths topped 200. There were nearly 150 the day before and are over 150 so far today. We'll blow past his projection of total deaths in the next few days. He predicts that the deaths per day are about to decline in the next day or two.
It would be wonderful if his prediction was true, but he is no where close to the final tally. Florida and Louisiana are going to see many deaths over the next ten days.
The attached graphic caught my attention earlier today. I have seen a lot of people of all types express concern over the lack of clarity and consistency of instruction to the public. I'd give credit for the graphic if I knew who made it, but couldn't find that info.
On a related topic, I just noticed the WHO is shifting their terminology away from "social distancing" to "physical distancing."
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...onavirus-you-are-not-invincible-idUSKBN21733O , near the bottom.
If you're a details geek like me and want the entire background, you can read the transcript of the press briefing where they talked about the decision here. It's on page 6, under the 00:19:31 heading. It appears people on Twitter are adopting the term. https://twitter.com/search?q=#physicaldistancing
'That's when all hell broke loose': Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
"We ended up getting our first positive patients -- and that's when all hell broke loose," said one New York City doctor.www.cnn.com
Please keep us posted on your outcome. How are you feeling? symptoms? What is your age?Well my brothers girlfriend is in critical condition right now and has lost the pregnancy. I have been diagnosed positive for COVID-19 after a couple colleagues came back to the office after a trip to Florida. They too have tested positive. I've also lost my job for trying to force them into a 14 day quarantine.
I guess I have time to catch up on some Netflix and pick out a new Sitka outfit for the fall.
I've heard of him and saw some of his work before, he lives in Cincinnati. He's been doing this stuff for years and they don't come any better. He's the guy that teaches geniuses. He'll admit he isn't always right but I'd hold his word in a higher regard than most of these yahoos spouting out numbers in the press.Log into Facebook
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I encourage everyone to go follow Dr. Frank's models and go poke holes in all his data. He actually encourages that too. If he is right it is great news for the people of our nation and around the world. Although Spain saw a huge spike that wasn't anticipated in the modeling. Most other areas are modeling quite well.
If he is wrong everyone can come back and dog pile me in a couple weeks and I'm sure that will bring great joy to some too. Win - win
Still flabbergasted at the people who tested positive and won’t remain in self-quarantine.
The Rise and Fall of COVID-19
See a statistical model of the future of the COVID-19 pandemic so that you can make informed decisions!dispensationalpublishing.com
Buzz he has models on almost every state in the attached link Most countries too. Not Wyoming yet...unfortunately. But it is coming.
Feel free to post other expert models. I truly would like to see more but they are not easy to find.
Really?
I'm not at all, its all about them.
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I encourage everyone to go follow Dr. Frank's models and go poke holes in all his data. He actually encourages that too. If he is right it is great news for the people of our nation and around the world. Although Spain saw a huge spike that wasn't anticipated in the modeling. Most other areas are modeling quite well.
If he is wrong everyone can come back and dog pile me in a couple weeks and I'm sure that will bring great joy to some too. Win - win
I hope he’s right. I’m not convinced that any of the data he’s using is good. Our testing criteria and availability has changed, and still isn’t consistent across the country, so I don’t know how you can use data collected under two different circumstances in the same equation unless you account for it somehow. Perhaps he did. I also don’t think deaths counts are going to give us good short term information due to the variability of time from infection to time of death. We shall see. I hope he’s right because his numbers look like sweet relief compared to what we’ve been told to expect.