Thanks, as always, Buzz, for your insight and information. Seriously, so many of us rely on you and appreciate it.
I'm a non-resident of Wyoming. To answer the question posed, I think it's bad that the allocations are going 50/50, but I think Sy's goal here (and others) is to probably get special draws back to draws that you could get with substantially fewer points (so they can then sell more outfitted hunts to folks that have fewer points to draw with). I mean, if you look at draw odds right now, for elk and antelope, in many units there is not much difference in odds between special and regular for the same points. Sometimes, it even flip-flops and your odds are WORSE paying for the more expensive tag. I don't know, but I suspect, the intention of the special draw was to allow for people to jump in line a bit and not have to accumulate so many preference points. If that's true, then I think this will actually result in getting back closer to that original goal. I'm not saying I agree with that goal or that I find it a compelling one from a resource management or opportunity point of view, but I at least understand it.
And so I think those that have posted on here that next year's special odds will be all out of whack are right. I'd be surprised if next year's odds aren't better for the regular than the special when all is said and done, which should create some opportunities for those willing to pony up $2000 for a special tag in 2024 -- I will not be one of those people. It seems to me cow elk are about all I can afford, which is fine with me because it's my understanding that they're just as good to eat as bulls.
I actually think the greater impact is going to be seen in antelope. Elk feels like an expensive animal, if that makes sense. Antelope really do not. So while there may be plenty of people willing to pony up $2000 for a bull elk, my guess is the universe of people willing to pony up $1200 for an antelope is much, much smaller.
I'm a non-resident of Wyoming. To answer the question posed, I think it's bad that the allocations are going 50/50, but I think Sy's goal here (and others) is to probably get special draws back to draws that you could get with substantially fewer points (so they can then sell more outfitted hunts to folks that have fewer points to draw with). I mean, if you look at draw odds right now, for elk and antelope, in many units there is not much difference in odds between special and regular for the same points. Sometimes, it even flip-flops and your odds are WORSE paying for the more expensive tag. I don't know, but I suspect, the intention of the special draw was to allow for people to jump in line a bit and not have to accumulate so many preference points. If that's true, then I think this will actually result in getting back closer to that original goal. I'm not saying I agree with that goal or that I find it a compelling one from a resource management or opportunity point of view, but I at least understand it.
And so I think those that have posted on here that next year's special odds will be all out of whack are right. I'd be surprised if next year's odds aren't better for the regular than the special when all is said and done, which should create some opportunities for those willing to pony up $2000 for a special tag in 2024 -- I will not be one of those people. It seems to me cow elk are about all I can afford, which is fine with me because it's my understanding that they're just as good to eat as bulls.
I actually think the greater impact is going to be seen in antelope. Elk feels like an expensive animal, if that makes sense. Antelope really do not. So while there may be plenty of people willing to pony up $2000 for a bull elk, my guess is the universe of people willing to pony up $1200 for an antelope is much, much smaller.