I feel your pain, Iām pulling for Bama and even if they win today Iām afraid theyāre screwed with WA winning
College Football š Season is Here !!
- Thread starter Little Big Man MT Chris
- Start date
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
Not necessarily, Washington and Michigan are in , if Bama ends Georgiaās 29 or 30 game win streak today how can they not be the number 4 seed in the playoffs as SEC Champs
If Louisville beats Florida St , the Texas outcome shouldnāt matterā¦
But if FSU and Texas win ā¦. Along with Bama does the committee dare leave out an undefeated ACC champ to put in the one loss SEC champ , the SEC being left out has never happened
Meanwhile back at the office of NCAA Playoff committee
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
Iām Guessing Oregon will get a Fiesta Bowl Bid not sure what bowls get first pick of the New Years 6 after the 4 playoff spots get filled.
Never been a Cardinal fan, until today!
If FSU, Texas & Bama win it puts the committee in a pickle
QuazyQuinton
Well-known member
I cannot imagine a scenario on which Alabama wins today and doesn't get into the playoff.
QQ
QuazyQuinton
Well-known member
I really don't think it's complicated (yet)....
Already in: Washington
In if they win: Georgia, Michigan, FSU
Also in if they win: Alabama--The big question is who they knock out. If there are three undefeated conference champs, then it has to be Georgia. If FSU or Michigan also loses, then the Bulldogs are right back in as the top 1-loss team.
Lurking for scraps (multiple upsets): Ohio State, Texas
See, it's not complicated, until it is.
QQ
Already in: Washington
In if they win: Georgia, Michigan, FSU
Also in if they win: Alabama--The big question is who they knock out. If there are three undefeated conference champs, then it has to be Georgia. If FSU or Michigan also loses, then the Bulldogs are right back in as the top 1-loss team.
Lurking for scraps (multiple upsets): Ohio State, Texas
See, it's not complicated, until it is.
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
50% of the time , it works every time!!!
QuazyQuinton
Well-known member
For another way of looking at it, I plotted out all the permutations of the four Power 5 conference championship games being played today. Of the 16 possible outcomes, here is the number that gets each team into the playoff (in my simple estimation):
Washington 16
Georgia 14
Michigan 9
FSU 8
Alabama 8
Ohio State 5
Texas 4
QQ
Washington 16
Georgia 14
Michigan 9
FSU 8
Alabama 8
Ohio State 5
Texas 4
Thatās a strong assumption that they would put in Bama over Texas with their head to head win.
Without some absolute craziness I think Ohio is already out
QuazyQuinton
Well-known member
I think a one-loss SEC conference champion Alabama who beats Georgia today gets in ahead of a one-loss Big 12 conference champion Texas who beats Oklahoma State today, but it's a fair question. Do you think a one-loss runner-up Georgia falls below Texas if Texas wins?
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
I would have to vote head to head on Texas vs Bama
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
Iāve been following along on that blowout, watching Miami vs Toledo 16-14 , itās close and entertaining
QuazyQuinton
Well-known member
Since my analysis is worth what you're paying for it, I'm going to try to make a little more profit. 
With 8 possible outcomes left, those numbers now look like:
Washington 8/8
Georgia 7/8
Alabama 4/8
Michigan 4/8
FSU 4/8
Texas 4/8
Ohio State 1/8
However, I adjusted for a couple of head-to-head results, and it looks like:
Washington 8/8
Texas 6/8
Georgia 5/8
Michigan 5/8
FSU 4/8
Alabama 4/8
Texas can get in several ways, but it will need an upset. Everyone else is win and in.
QQ
With 8 possible outcomes left, those numbers now look like:
Washington 8/8
Georgia 7/8
Alabama 4/8
Michigan 4/8
FSU 4/8
Texas 4/8
Ohio State 1/8
However, I adjusted for a couple of head-to-head results, and it looks like:
Washington 8/8
Texas 6/8
Georgia 5/8
Michigan 5/8
FSU 4/8
Alabama 4/8
Texas can get in several ways, but it will need an upset. Everyone else is win and in.
noharleyyet
Well-known member
Fair assessments.Since my analysis is worth what you're paying for it, I'm going to try to make a little more profit.
With 8 possible outcomes left, those numbers now look like:
Washington 8/8
Georgia 7/8
Alabama 4/8
Michigan 4/8
FSU 4/8
Texas 4/8
Ohio State 1/8
However, I adjusted for a couple of head-to-head results, and it looks like:
Washington 8/8
Texas 6/8
Georgia 5/8
Michigan 5/8
FSU 4/8
Alabama 4/8
Texas can get in several ways, but it will need an upset. Everyone else is win and in.
This is the kind of stuff I love to see since Nate Silver took his playoff predictor with him when ABC/538 let him go. ESPNās Allstate Playoff predictor stinks.Since my analysis is worth what you're paying for it, I'm going to try to make a little more profit.
With 8 possible outcomes left, those numbers now look like:
Washington 8/8
Georgia 7/8
Alabama 4/8
Michigan 4/8
FSU 4/8
Texas 4/8
Ohio State 1/8
However, I adjusted for a couple of head-to-head results, and it looks like:
Washington 8/8
Texas 6/8
Georgia 5/8
Michigan 5/8
FSU 4/8
Alabama 4/8
Texas can get in several ways, but it will need an upset. Everyone else is win and in.
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
Bama / Georgia is making good theater
Little Big Man MT Chris
Well-known member
Itās THUNDER DOME !!! In the NCAA playoffsā¦ā¦. Ha ha ha
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must be the folks on that other forum keeping the stats so high...
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