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Anybody Buying Yet? Where’s the Bottom?

If you are talking about the chance of Congress not getting it's act together and starting that kind of default, I might agree with you--except in an election year even they aren't that stupid--well maybe they are, but one thing you can count on, they want their side to win elections. One side won't go for it and if the other side tries it's handing the election to their opponent.

The Wharton School at Penn and numerous other prestigious economic/business experts all have implications leading to default on debt being extremely low and the debt would have to grow multiple times from where it is now before we get there.

We could move there a lot faster if some of the tax cuts aren't allowed to sunset and even faster if more tax cuts are planned by whoever takes over--if they aren't balanced by increased revenue--and I am not talking the long debunked "trickle down" revenue boost from tax cuts--to balance cuts out.
It sounds like you want tax cuts to expire? How do you see higher taxes playing out?
 
I see people making dire warnings endlessly. Even with the cheating and insider action that goes on playing wall street is easy.

Buy good investments--or better yet good long term growth mutual funds or index funds--and hold them. As you get closer to needing the money you might want to steer your mix towards a higher component of bonds.

The turtle wins that race every time over the person who frequently has money in cash on the relatively few good market days--or chases yesterdays top performer.

I don't see strong growth market soon but people have short memories--if bonds come back--they haven't done much in a long time--you can do well with a mixed portfolio. At retirement we are close to set if our portfolio returns just 4 percent and I expect we can do a bit better than that.

The biggest position by far in our retirement funds now are what they call balanced funds--usually try to maintain a 60/40 split of equities to bonds--in low fee funds from Fidelity, T Rowe and Vanguard. I don't need sky high returns at this point in life and know chasing them is a fools errand.

Good example of what I am talking about. I haven't much in small cap funds in years, they haven't compared well with other styles or index funds. That is projected to change and we moved some into them to the tune of maybe 10 percent of our mix. Lost money in them but slowly been creeping back, if market close today is where it's at now they will all be in the black poised for even more growth as the rate cut impacts get rolling soon.

Someone chasing immediate performance would have dumped them shortly after buying into them.

Not sure what to think about the rate cut or cuts. Many want a bigger one right away, but others claim that might actually have a reverse impact on the market--a 1/4 now followed by a quarter later this year or more would be a smoother path I think, curious to see what the fed does.
 
Bigger cut, market reacted down yesterday---doom and gloomers out in force. Then it's up A LOT today!
 
Anybody interested in some DJT stock? It's only down to $14 from $79, and took a giant dump of almost 6% today, on a record setting day in the market. That stock is on its way to zero.

My investments had a great day today while I was looking at pronghorn.
 
Anybody interested in some DJT stock? It's only down to $14 from $79, and took a giant dump of almost 6% today, on a record setting day in the market. That stock is on its way to zero.

My investments had a great day today while I was looking at pronghorn.
You really should read a book Buzz.
 
Anybody interested in some DJT stock? It's only down to $14 from $79, and took a giant dump of almost 6% today, on a record setting day in the market. That stock is on its way to zero.

My investments had a great day today while I was looking at pronghorn.
You going to buy some leap put options? Sounds like a slam dunk. I’m looking for some investment advice from the pros.

And yeah 20% YTD returns in the S&P index is also nice but I’m still more interested in seeing basic costs come back to reality. The extra 1,100$/month for groceries/gas/electricity is cutting into my hunting funds.IMG_3851.jpeg
 
You going to buy some leap put options? Sounds like a slam dunk. I’m looking for some investment advice from the pros.

And yeah 20% YTD returns in the S&P index is also nice but I’m still more interested in seeing basic costs come back to reality. The extra 1,100$/month for groceries/gas/electricity is cutting into my hunting funds.View attachment 340945
Yeah, the price of eggs...FFS.
 
You going to buy some leap put options? Sounds like a slam dunk. I’m looking for some investment advice from the pros.

And yeah 20% YTD returns in the S&P index is also nice but I’m still more interested in seeing basic costs come back to reality. The extra 1,100$/month for groceries/gas/electricity is cutting into my hunting funds.View attachment 340945
If $1100 month expenses are cutting into your hunting funds, sounds like you can't afford to hunt and should get back to work.

I made enough TODAY in the S&P to cover a few years worth of your alleged $1100/month in additional expenses.

Oh, the price of bacon.
 
If $1100 month expenses are cutting into your hunting funds, sounds like you can't afford to hunt and should get back to work.

I made enough TODAY in the S&P to cover a few years worth of your alleged $1100/month in additional expenses.

Oh, the price of bacon.
I got 3 kids to feed so yeah 20% inflation does hit me pretty hard. I’ll be alright though @buzz. I appreciate the concern.

I don’t check an index fund but once every 3-6 months. A Neanderthal should be able to set up a S&P500 index fund and do very well. Congratulations 🎉 on your success I hope retirement treats you well.
 
I got 3 kids to feed so yeah 20% inflation does hit me pretty hard. I’ll be alright though @buzz. I appreciate the concern.

I don’t check an index fund but once every 3-6 months. A Neanderthal should be able to set up a S&P500 index fund and do very well. Congratulations 🎉 on your success I hope retirement treats you well.
How's that my problem?

I'm still pissed about the price of milk.
 
I've been finally riding the positive wave on my Gevo. Been holding for years waiting for this moment, feels good minus yesterday's pullback.
IMG_4927.png

I don't want to sell any gevo because I believe in their mission, but man was I getting tempted when my account finally went positive for the first time in three years.... 😂
 
Stocks like Gevo are highly prone to policy changes. I'd sure watch as things approach in November! DJT is not going to be your friend!

Any higher risk I take is in mutual funds, which since they hold multiple stocks spread out your risk. Still try to keep 90 percent or more in core/long term investments.

I am not sure if the rate cut will mean much on mortgage rates but it should help with borrowing otherwise. Have a small position in a sector fund focusing on construction that's been doing well recently.
 
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