BrentD
Well-known member
It is not just NIH/biomedical research. NSF is being hammered as is every other granting agency. If you voted for him, this complete hammering of the science and engineering being done throughout the country, is on you. This has been a Republican agenda issue since forever. But now it is really hitting home.The attempted imposition of a 15% indirect cost for NIH grants is another example of this. It has been blocked by a judge, and it looks like what they are doing is indeed illegal due to a 2017 law passed by a Republican congress the last time the Trump administration tried these shenanigans. But this is going to take time to figure out.
The stated preference of the administration is to increase money spent on research with this rule change, but that is just a nice sound bite. People who actually understand how the system works (probably including the Heritage Foundation zealots that came up with this mess) have highlighted how the actual effect will be to decrease the number of grants that are given out by the NIH. I don't know if your average person actually understands how competitive NIH grants are. The payline for R01 grants (your standard grant) for institutes that publish this data can vary from the sub-10th percentile to 16th percentile, with the NIBIB being an outlier at 18th percentile. This is significantly lower than it was pre-2008, where I am told that paylines were routinely in the 20s or 30s. Under the pre-2025 system, the vast majority of grants submitted to the NIH were not funded. These are research proposals generated by highly trained scientists at the forefront of their fields. Now consider the actual proposed policy by the Trump administration would decrease the number of grants issued by the NIH, and you can understand that this will just drive paylines down even further and turn what is arguably an already too competitive environment into something significantly worse.
Again, it looks like this will not stand up upon legal review, but it has already had some of the desired effects. Right now is the middle of the academic hiring cycle, and I know of job postings that have been affected by hiring freezes due to the chaos of this administration. I am also on the job market, and I am worried how this will affect my search. My future research group will be developing chemical tools for applications in biological research, and the NIH would be a primary funding stream. Maybe my verbal job offer gets pulled. Maybe I end up at an institution with limited resources, creating significant negative impacts on my long term career. I don't know what is going to happen. It is a mess.
If we zoom out and look at what this all means for the tax payer if this policy is allowed by the courts, it will result in less fundamental and translational biomedical research being performed. Downstream of this will be fewer treatments being developed, though that will take time to work itself through the system as today's discoveries take time to make it to consumers. Which means the Trump administration wouldn't have to suffer the negatives consequences of their actions, but the public eventually will.