MT Poll: (R) Gianforte, (D) Busse, or (L) Leib.

[hank4elk]

1975. MT was dark blue rural. Like most of the west still.
I still have the hat I bought in Butte, the day Nixon resigned. The whole town was a street party.
Election Day was eff Repubs in those days.

 

[88man]

Can't believe John Dutton wasn't on the ticket

 

[SAJ-99]

...where republicans align more with old school dems

The racist ones?

Here is the data for Montana for the TLDR. You can easily pinpoint the exact year MT switched from Dem to Rep. (website attached for those that want to play around for their state). The explanation is well understood for anyone with even a cursory knowledge of the 1960's. A lot of states look similar. Sometimes when the the candidate was from that state, things can switch (Carter in Georgia for example). Obama came the closest to having major surprises in 2008 in some of these states, and that was because we were in a major recession.

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

Detailed national results of US Presidential Elections from 1789 through 2012, US Senate and Gubernatorial Elections since 1990. Site includes election data, county maps and state maps, charts. State and county results from 1892 through 2012.

uselectionatlas.org

 

[Nameless Range]

Like clockwork on social media today:

 

[SAJ-99]

Like clockwork on social media today:

View attachment 348010

The MT guys keep saying they want better candidates. Can someone give me a list of the things they want to hear? I would generally say that voting Americans are a diverse group, but the trend of the presidential victors over the last 45 years is to dumb stuff down. No one wants the details or hear about complexities of tradeoffs. Stay simple and tell them they will benefit $$$ and while giving up nothing. It doesn't even have to be true.

 

[Southern Elk]

The MT guys keep saying they want better candidates. Can someone give me a list of the things they want to hear? I would generally say that voting Americans are a diverse group, but the trend of the presidential victors over the last 45 years is to dumb stuff down. No one wants the details or hear about complexities of tradeoffs. Stay simple and tell them they will benefit $$$ and while giving up nothing. It doesn't even have to be true.

A democrat governor candidate that doesn’t work for the gun control lobby would be a good start. You can laugh that off all you want, but it is a major issue here.

 

[SAJ-99]

A democrat governor candidate that doesn’t work for the gun control lobby would be a good start. You can laugh that off all you want, but it is a major issue here.

Great. But hard to believe you still elected Steve Bullock twice and his NRA rating is F, which I don’t think stands for fantastic.

 

[noharleyyet]

Like clockwork on social media today:

View attachment 348010

...there it is

 

[Carnage2011]

Great. But hard to believe you still elected Steve Bullock twice and his NRA rating is F, which I don’t think stands for fantastic.

An NRA rating is a far cry from writing a book and working for an anti gun lobby group. Also, Steve Bullock is a long ways from the past two democrat candidates in MT. I don’t see Montana going purple anytime soon unless they come forward with a very moderate candidate.

 

[SAJ-99]

An NRA rating is a far cry from writing a book and working for an anti gun lobby group. Also, Steve Bullock is a long ways from the past two democrat candidates in MT. I don’t see Montana going purple anytime soon unless they come forward with a very moderate candidate.

Sure. I get that. What was Cooney's problem in 2020?

Hind sight is always 20/20. I just think that "guns" is an oversimplification of Montanans general decision when they walk into the booth. When I look at the historical results, Montana is all over the place, especially in the Governor races. Again, paint your perfect candidate. I'm sure the Dem party would love to see it. And then find someone to run and subject themselves to the scrutiny.

Once GG terms out, it will be very interesting given the anti-public land and anti-FWP sentiment Knudsen has shown. Good luck.