TheJason
Well-known member
- Joined
- Oct 21, 2024
- Messages
- 18,582
Your first sentence here is pretty key. It's also devolved into a very emotional issue, and rightly so. It's entirely reasonable folks are frustrated with lack of change.People have a tendency to get hung up on individual issues inside a more complex scenario and put their entire focus on that, rather than how it works globally.
Harvest stats are important when we look at success rates for elk, days in the field and elk populations in some districts. Those low success rates can indicate season structures that aren't working in terms of management.
Similarly, mandatory reporting is important for harvest so you get a better idea on Hunter distribution which is about seasons as well.
The need to broaden the data set has to be combined with the recognition that we have to broaden the view of how that data is interpreted as well.
I'm sure there is a statistical method built into things to account for survey noise. Yes, mandatory reporting will give some semblance of hunter distribution. However, I don't expect it to be accurate. Humans are humans and they'll misrepresent to preserve things for their own interests. Freedom to hunt wherever in the state is a big deal to some, and they'll certainly try to protect that.
Is the issue the hunter data reported/collected? Or is it the same season structure for the past half-century because FWP does not have the directive to change course? I truly would be interested in a valid data-driven comparison of mandatory reporting vs. what Montana does. I'm not defending it and I'm not saying it's either accurate or correct. However, I do wonder at times if it's simply a convenient whipping boy for echo chambers to pummel.
Hunter days is an interesting metric. Does it account for increased selectivity amongst hunters? It may represent sub-ideal weather conditions. It may represent a lack of animals. It may represent all of the above and more. Back in the early 2000's, there were a string of years where elk harvest was quite low. The departmental response, based on harvest data and public demand was to increase the season length. It worked in some areas in the short term, but it missed the canary in the coal mine moment as elk use and movement patterns began to shift heavily to private land sanctuary areas.
As previously pointed out, flight transects don't tell the whole story either. They don't always differentiate between migratory and non-migratory animals. GPS collar data does. At the end of the day (of the 12 week hunting season), two things matter for next year: how many animals remain amongst age and sex classification, and two, where did they come from so you can account for migrational influences. Collect these repeatedly over time and now you have valuable trends.
I won't try to tell anyone what priorities should be in MT, so I can save some folks the effort of mindlessly pointing out I don't live there. Effecting change in MT hunting season structures is like trying to turn a supertanker with an electric trolling motor, so you better focus your efforts on what will truly help improve the resource.
Thank you very much to those of you putting in the effort to effect meaningful change. The current accounts from my friend @antlerradar truly make me sad. FWP has spent decades trying to fend off ranching for wildlife-type privatization management, and it's easy to take a fatalistic approach to it. I'm under no illusion your current governor's administration cares about the public land, DIY hunter and as such, will give little directive to FWP to change that. Also, given the never-ending statutory gift from Debbie Barrett that mandated FWP to manage at or below objective, it's hard to envision a drastic shift in management approach.
Those of you who simply lob shots at folks for shooting small bucks and driving vehicles with out-of-area plates, keep up the good work. You're putting band-aids on arterial bleeds. It helps immensely.
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