amp.charlotteobserver.com
From the article you referenced and other sources, (a) SARS only infected 8,000 in a whole year, CV-19 has infected over 180,000 in 90 days or so; and (b) H1N1 had very low mortality rate, while it will be some time to get the same numbers for CV-19 it almost certainly will be significantly higher, probably by a factor of 10.
We’ve had other outbreaks this century. What makes the coronavirus pandemic different?
The last pandemic was H1N1, also known as swine flu, in 2009.
So what exactly is the difference?
Anybody find some hard facts on what's different about these? Why is covid-19 more of a threat than passed pandemics?
You can't draw your conclusion from the facts you presented. If "patient zero" was in US on Nov 30; and you have 9-14 day asymptomatic phase (which is the case); and if it is primarily spread with person to person contact (which is the case); and if it takes about an additional 14-20 days to die (which is indicated in some things I have read but not certain); and if 80-90% of the folks who got it just thought it was a cold that went away (which is the case); and if the first few dozen deaths in late December or early Jan were mis-understood to be Influenza (which is likely given overlapping symptoms); and if we haven't done sufficient testing to really understand larger asymptomatic and "just a cold" population exposure then the current trajectory could be right on track. Lots of unknowns and assumptions in all of this (and just about everything else) but your assertion that earlier patient zero proves this is a "non-issue" doesn't hold water. Hopefully the lethality of the virus will drop over time (which happens fairly commonly with infectious disease); and hopefully we are now better prepared to treat the sick; and hopefully the social distancing steps we are taking in the US will flatten the curve; and maybe (and certainly hopefully) this won't be a disaster. Having all the nay-sayers be able to say "I told you so" in June would be a great outcome for all, but not an outcome prudent people should use as a guide today.
www.cdc.gov
You just repeated with more numbers then what I was generally surmising. If the lethality of this is what we are being told then the number of deaths should be going up rather dramatically with each passing day as we move forward. so far that is not the case.
It truly feels like you formed an opinion weeks ago and no amount of information will change it.Hyperbole....
We have no way of knowing that. I asked for hard facts. Hard facts so I can understand the different responses on these pandemics.
Average age of death in US from corona so far is 80.
Average age of death from swine roughly 41.
That is a strange statistic to me when it comes to the lethality of the viruses.
@VikingsGuy
Ps. As buffalo fan I think we made a good fair trade.
Ps. As buffalo fan I think we made a good fair trade.
Yup - things like infection rates, mortality rates, does infection result in lasting immunity, how effective in merely social distancing in leu of full quarantine work? Lot's of questions that by definition won't be clear until June.
Yea the diva thing scares me especially with the culture buffalo has built the last few years. Hopefully mcdermott can beat the diva out of him. But I digress as to not change the thread
Pretty sure the title says facts AND discussion. A little non-political Q&A is useful in my opinion.
www.hunttalk.com
On this we are agreed. I should have just PM'd him.Here I'll help, so this thread doesn't turn into a discussion about football "divas"...
Sports Fans - Teams, Tourneys, Races, and Games
Although I appreciate your research and the helpful information you contribute ... I don't need to know of your opinion on every facet of life throughout the day on this forum.
