WY GEN Regions

[WapitiBob]

Published quotas are higher than last year but in reality pretty close when you add in the quota balance tags they would add after the main draw, which has been roughly 300 going to the special gen. Those QB tags are no longer needed now that the 7250 is gone.

 

[jvanhoy]

Reg or special?

Regular.

 

[brownbear932008]

Regular.

we working class guys can't afford that rich man game right? Hoping to draw out also at 5.

 

[WildWill]

Eastern-7 reg
Southern-7 reg
Western—3 reg

That’s my guess.

I'll play.


Eastern-5
Western-6
Southern-7


My guess for the regular draw.

 

[SAJ-99]

I think what we are seeing is the law of the internet. The crazier the comment (guess, in this case) the more you can stand out.
The higher point guesses have to assume that a larger number of applicants with 6 or 7 or 8 points decide that NOW is the time to draw that General tag despite being at a point level to draw it with 100% certainty for the past 5 years. That is illogical. It would be funny if it happens, but probably not a reasonable assumption.

Looking at the data I have, there are some 170,000 point holders, about 60% of them are going to have less than 4pts going into 2024 draw . Most of the general tags applicants are going to be clustered in the 4-6pt grouping. I think everyone assumes that the price hike in the Special will cause applicants in that pool to drop while increasing those in the Regular. If we assumed that everyone in the Special draw jumps to the Regular draw and use 2023 results, we "only" jump about 1.5pts. Crazy stuff happens all the time, but if I was to bet on something crazy and unexpected, it might be that Special applications actually increase.

 

[blueridge]

we working class guys can't afford that rich man game right? Hoping to draw out also at 5.

Which region?

I will also be going in with 5 in the regular (west), but really hoping to withdraw my app after AK and NM results come out.

 

[brownbear932008]

Which region?

I will also be going in with 5 in the regular (west), but really hoping to withdraw my app after AK and NM results come out.

Most likely West haven't nailed that down yet. I hope to also withdraw my app after NM

 

[Archer86]

East 2
South 4
West 7

I will say it seams crazy how many people buy points and have no idea what has changed in the general areas and how it will effect the draw. Looking at that maybe not much changes and the perceived supply of the east tags being lower might cause some guys to burn way to many points over there.

 

[SAJ-99]

East 2
South 4
West 7

I will say it seams crazy how many people buy points and have no idea what has changed in the general areas and how it will effect the draw. Looking at that maybe not much changes and the perceived supply of the east tags being lower might cause some guys to burn way to many points over there.

Equally crazy, there were 3,000 NR with 15-17pts going into the 2023 draw. WTF are they waiting on, a written invitation from the Almighty? People are definitely weird.

 

[Archer86]

Equally crazy, there were 3,000 NR with 15-17pts going into the 2023 draw. WTF are they waiting on, a written invitation from the Almighty? People are definitely weird.

Yup and maybe that's the silver lining for everyone trying to get a tag some may never jump In and then some buy points for a few years then give up and drop out.

Either way the numbers going into the 2024 draw look bad but obviously everyone won't jump in. There will be alot of speculation until may. What worries me most is the new point buyers over the last couple years.

 

[SAJ-99]

Yup and maybe that's the silver lining for everyone trying to get a tag some may never jump In and then some buy points for a few years then give up and drop out.

Either way the numbers going into the 2024 draw look bad but obviously everyone won't jump in. There will be alot of speculation until may. What worries me most is the new point buyers over the last couple years.

Just saw those numbers, myself. The good news is that the number of point buyers jumping in the pool has decreased from last year, from 42,191 to 37,442. That is pretty significant. In another decade someone might be able to take advantage of the opportunity.

 

[Addicting]

I am guilty of this. I am at 7 and have no intention of using them for a few years.

I’m just banking them to split with my kids when they are ready. I will hunt cows for as long as I can keep getting a tag.

 

[brockel]

I am guilty of this. I am at 7 and have no intention of using them for a few years.

I’m just banking them to split with my kids when they are ready. I will hunt cows for as long as I can keep getting a tag.

I’m at 8 and I don’t think I’m going to jump in this year

 

[dan.kirkpatrick]

glad i drew the general in 2023,,though i didnt harvest a big bull the expierience was there.now that im zeroed out this year,what would be the best region to try for a random in??i might just sit on it and watch how it goes,, wonder if i should even buy a point in july and jump back in,or just give up now on elk.im thinkin western region with the most tag numbers for a random?

 

[WapitiBob]

Less than half of applicants with points actually apply for a hunt.

 

[WIbiggame]

Hunting partner and I have 6. Won't be using them for awhile. Other hunts are just falling into place. Will probably use them around 8-9pt range thr way its looking. My brother and nephew have 5 each so will be averaging with them after we draw hopefully.

 

[SAJ-99]

Less than half of applicants with points actually apply for a hunt.

Did you have last year’s exact number for the cutoff. I thought you may have posted it but can’t find it. I think it was like 4.17.

 

[Deleted member 52098]

At just a few points I’m gonna focus on cow hunts until my chances are more reasonable and see how this year plays out

 

[tjhester]

Regular
East- 1
South- 4
West- 8

Special
East- 0
South- 3
West- 5


I hope I'm wrong about west

 

[jvanhoy]

Regular
East- 1
South- 4
West- 8

Special
East- 0
South- 3
West- 5


I hope I'm wrong about west

I hope you’re right about the South. Guess I’ll throw my 5 in and see.