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Sure, you can have a great fishing year even on a bad run. That's because downstream retention regulations are usually pretty strict to allow for upstream escapement. In addition, sometimes you end up with really low participation in a down year. Couple that with restrictive regulations and you absolutely can have good fishing on a bad return.Ya, but sometimes the forcast are wrong. I don't know if it's true a lot of idaho buddies tell they rely on b run as a prediction. My best year ever was on a year of dismal forecast. I honestly don't know enough about it
BummerSure, you can have a great fishing year even on a bad run. That's because downstream retention regulations are usually pretty strict to allow for upstream escapement. In addition, sometimes you end up with really low participation in a down year. Couple that with restrictive regulations and you absolutely can have good fishing on a bad return.
And no, they don't just rely on B run for prediction. A good friend of mine, who is a very good source on this, said it is predicted to be about half of this year's return.