BrentD
Well-known member
If that's your priority, here's a great way to improve your odds: you and some buddies apply individually and go together if one of you draw. If three of you apply, 7% turns into 21% odds that one of you will draw. I like spending time with my best friends: my brother-in-law (who I only see once a year) and my son. I don't care which one of us actually pulls the trigger. Actually, getting one is just a bonus. . . . Just a thought.
Actually slightly less. The chance that one person does not draw is 93% and the probably that none of the three draw is 0.93*0.93*0.93 = 0.804 or so or a 19.6% chance that at least one person draws. I know, it looks like nearly the same thing, but 3x7% is not the correct formulation, and it does matter (imagine the probability of drawing was 50%).
Okay, enough of that! My apologies for any offenses committed (I could not help myself).