npaden
Well-known member
The NPR article gets its numbers from the US FWS Annual survey which bases it's numbers on extrapolations from census data.
https://wsfrprograms.fws.gov/subpages/nationalsurvey/nat_survey2016.pdf
The data you are referencing is ostensibly raw data from the state license sales
https://wsfrprograms.fws.gov/subpages/licenseinfo/hunting.htm
The later would appear to be more accurate, but I'm not sure if they control for people who have licenses in multiple states. I bet most guys on here have at least 2, I think I had 5 last year. It's possible they use Socials to eliminate duplicates, I know CO, WY, MT, and UT asked for mine but I don't think I had to give that info for my Kansas and Alaska tags. Either way both datasets are being curated by the US FWS, so if they say based on their finding that hunter numbers are going down I'm going to believe them and assume there are some data busts that aren't readily apparent.
It says in the footnotes that it doesn't attempt to remove duplicate people who buy more than one license, but it does have a column for nonresident sales. That column is inflated though, because it is counting all permits, stamps, etc. sold to that nonresident hunter. Looking at the resident numbers the column with total tags, permits, stamps, etc. is about double the number of licensed hunters. I wouldn't think nonresidents would buy quite as many individual permits as a resident though. Most are probably going to hunt one species in that nonresident state, but there are for sure some who would buy multiple tags or permits.
I would say that most folks on here are anomaly on the number of licenses and tags we buy.
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