Anybody Buying Yet? Where’s the Bottom?

[Bonasababy]

I’m still down 6 figures even with the bump…

I finally looked today--before the bump from today down nearly 50K

 

[Dave N]

This thread reminds me of when people go to Vegas. Everyone always wins…

I came home broke and with a new wife.

 

[Bonasababy]

i'm never sure if people in here are primarily discussing things through the lense of their retirement funds or personal brokerage accounts.

my retirement funds are 100% on autopilot. i log into that like once a quarter at the most just to see what things look like and pat myself on the back for stocking away.

as far as this thread goes, i'm usually talking about what we invest above and beyond our savings and emergency funds. a very small slice of which goes into a more gambling type jar.

i deployed about as much cash as i told myself i was allowed to in the last few days. and i'm not upset i did. but i'm not gonna say i'm "winning" or anything.

But--a good ten years or more away from normal retirement age right?

 

[seeth07]

This is my @seeth07 level win for the day. Don't ask me about everything else lol.

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I haven't quite sold that one and celebrated yet but I bought in too on that one Monday I think it was!

 

[Sytes]

my retirement funds are 100% on autopilot. i log into that like once a quarter at the most just to see what things look like and pat myself on the back for stocking away.

as far as this thread goes, i'm usually talking about what we invest above and beyond our savings and emergency funds. a very small slice of which goes into a more gambling type jar.

To each his/her own how we operate our funds.
My hobby $, I've doubled my base 5k off shorts. It was an obvious red world once trump made his big tariff speech.
You leave it on autopilot and that is the common sense work for those not involved heavy enough in the market.

Reality, this market will be better than pre trump speech and seems may be sooner than later though at its greatest, say 18 months, our payroll deductions, if set to continue in the S&P, DOW, Nasdaq, will continue to buy along the dip and each person will build upon their retirement funds.

For others, such as myself, I'm comfortable with working in the market. I use my TSP, gov version of 401, as i pulled it a month ago into cash, bonds, and Intl funds. Along with this, I continued my payroll and matched deductions into the S&P and DOW. These will continue to build on the dip purchases.
Along with this, I placed 50% of my cash, bonds, and Int'l funds into our S&P large company stocks.
As mentioned, ANY TIME I re-enter the S&P below my sell value is additional $. Currently, sitting 12% more $ than those riding through it.
why?
1. The entire market crashes, mass depression... I'm no worse than anyone riding through the market.
2. Dip drops, my additional 12% $ equates roughly 6pk additional money - currently as it's 50% of my safe(r) harbored funds.
3. Dip drops further, my 12% is still exactly the same as #2. An additional 60k beyond those riding through. On top of this, IF the dip continues to drop, I'll place another 50-100% of my cash, bonds and Int'l funds into the S;P large co.pany funds. At this point, as it has dipped further, I'm making say 20% more than those that rode through... thus 120k more. Tack that with my original buy in @ 12%, I'm now 180k above those that rode through with zero gain/loss.
4. Market rockets upward, pure green. GREAT! I'm still making 3% roughly off my cash, bonds, and Int'l that didn't enter the dip beyond my current buy in at 12% (60k)... i revert my safe(r) harbored funds back into the S&P and DOW. No loss rather 60k + my payroll deductions matched additions.

Loss for working my TSP? Zilch.
Gain for working my TSP? At the least 60k.

Again, to each his/her own.

Feel free to poke holes in this though reality? I've openly offered to give 200% gain off a $250 investment that the market will not be better in three years that it was pre trump speech - yet even the greaf depression, chicken little hunt talk key strokes feared to take that investment, rather continue stroking the keys... (these are the extremes I'm speaking towards).
Thus most everyone here believes our markets will exceed pre trump speech within three years.
That means my 12% (60k+) and if it drops further, hopefully another 120k+, with three years on top of my 1 mill (approx TSP value.

 

[seeth07]

for those of you that were worried about your 401k late last week and the last two days....it was all for nothing. We back. @npaden didn't you call the rebound to happen? Just off by a few days?

 

[Nick87]

for those of you that were worried about your 401k late last week and the last two days....it was all for nothing. We back. @npaden didn't you call the rebound to happen? Just off by a few days?

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Tbh I was waiting for a better deal.

 

[NDGuy]

for those of you that were worried about your 401k late last week and the last two days....it was all for nothing. We back. @npaden didn't you call the rebound to happen? Just off by a few days?

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I think we all have learned gains/losses can be reversed quickly so far this year.

 

[TakeABreakAndTouchGrass]

Tbh I was waiting for a better deal.

I put some more cash in, but not as much as I was hoping to before this was all over. Something tells me we're going to get another chance.

 

[Nick87]

Something tells me we're going to get another chance.

More than likely I'm sure.

 

[npaden]

I didn't have this big of a bounce predicted, but I didn't expect him to back off so quickly. The elephant in the room is still China on tariffs. 125% tariffs on something close to a 1/2 Trillion dollars is a lot of money. Crazy that the market can swing so dramatically.

 

[brymoore]

for those of you that were worried about your 401k late last week and the last two days....it was all for nothing. We back. @npaden didn't you call the rebound to happen? Just off by a few days?

View attachment 367425

We went back part of the way in the market because Trump blinked for 90 days. His blink doesn’t change the underlying issues with the tariffs nor trade war that might damage the U.S. economy.

 

[noharleyyet]

Someone buddy check SAJ or we won't hear from him til Trump's next brainfart....

 

[Rie Bread]

My portfolio only dipped -13% at the worst.

Looks like a bunch of reverse head and shoulder patterns out there.

 

[Treeshark]

Playing the market works great for those knowing when to place portions into the market.

@Sytes, what do you think is going to happen tomorrow? @seeth07, how about you? What’s the plan?

I’ll be honest, I haven’t the foggiest idea- could be another nice bump, or could be another large sell off. A flat day would surprise me.

 

[TakeABreakAndTouchGrass]

@Sytes, what do you think is going to happen tomorrow? @seeth07, how about you? What’s the plan?

I’ll be honest, I haven’t the foggiest idea- could be another nice bump, or could be another large sell off. A flat day would surprise me.

You didn't ask, but I'm expecting a rise in the morning followed by a sell off leaving us in the red.

 

[seeth07]

@Sytes, what do you think is going to happen tomorrow? @seeth07, how about you? What’s the plan?

I’ll be honest, I haven’t the foggiest idea- could be another nice bump, or could be another large sell off. A flat day would surprise me.

I predict a flat day. I'm remaining neutral tonight and not touching anything. In other words I'm taking my money and running while watching the show

 

[Treeshark]

You didn't ask

No worries, more the merrier. Retrospective is fun, prospective is more fun.

 

[Sytes]

I know my market -12% entry point with 50% of my move from cash and bonds made me 60k over those who are riding through the market.

As for the market tomorrow, I'll sit back and watch. My 50% S&P large company entry with continued payroll and matching continue to buy, I'll watch.
My next move would be an anticipated drop again. Hopefully I can get in another drop with my other 50% of cash and bonds around -10 or better %.
If the market suddenly stabilizes... which i don't think it will, I'll trickle in at 25% increments over the next couple weeks.

Hoping for China 124% broomstick to play havoc and collect a bit more than those riding the market out.

How about you?

 

[Rie Bread]

I know my market -12% entry point with 50% of my move from cash and bonds made me 60k over those who are riding through the market.

As for the market tomorrow, I'll sit back and watch. My 50% S&P large company entry with continued payroll and matching continue to buy, I'll watch.
My next move would be an anticipated drop again. Hopefully I can get in another drop with my other 50% of cash and bonds around -10 or better %.
If the market suddenly stabilizes... which i don't think it will, I'll trickle in at 25% increments over the next couple weeks.

Hoping for China 124% broomstick to play havoc and collect a bit more than those riding the market out.

How about you?

If the dip tomorrow and then next day doesn’t bust the floor then I’ll believe the chart voodoo, sell my gains and throw it in Qqq’s and those corresponding individual stocks.