recession?

[Archer86]

That policy goof really crushed the economy. Count me as outraged!

The current economy seam ok to me far from crushed..... Just alot of crying from the world is ending crowd. I will wait it out and see what happens...before I decide if it's good or bad. Just funny how all that are crying about tarriffs just ignore when it's shown biden did the same thing even if on a smaller scale if you hate tarriffs you should hate his also.

 

[rjthehunter]

I was in Bozeman last weekend. The amount of construction going on there, especially during the winter time, was impressive.

When money is involved, owners don't care if it costs 20% extra to build in the winter. They'll make it up by opening 4 months early!

It's great for construction companies. Building through the winter has definitely become more popular in the past decade. It used to be rare to see someone spend the $ to thaw the ground and start putting foundations in during January or February. Now it's normal.

 

[rjthehunter]

how do i or can i make my own posts on hunttalk? i dont see a button to make my own

It depends. Are you going to post about crypto?

 

[brymoore]

The current economy seam ok to me far from crushed..... Just alot of crying from the world is ending crowd. I will wait it out and see what happens...before I decide if it's good or bad. Just funny how all that are crying about tarriffs just ignore when it's shown biden did the same thing even if on a smaller scale if you hate tarriffs you should hate his also.

All tariffs are stupid.

You’re about to get a listen in economics due to the trade war using tariffs with our three largest trading partners.

 

[Beignet]

The current economy seam ok to me far from crushed..... Just alot of crying from the world is ending crowd. I will wait it out and see what happens...before I decide if it's good or bad. Just funny how all that are crying about tarriffs just ignore when it's shown biden did the same thing even if on a smaller scale if you hate tarriffs you should hate his also.

Don’t hate tariffs at all. Just appreciate a good old fashioned refined, informed approach, (ideally) with some input from the US Office of the Trade Representative about where they’re best served.

I’m still f-ing outraged about those solar panels though. However fine the economy seems my anger won’t be assuaged.

 

[BigHornRam]

When money is involved, owners don't care if it costs 20% extra to build in the winter. They'll make it up by opening 4 months early!

It's great for construction companies. Building through the winter has definitely become more popular in the past decade. It used to be rare to see someone spend the $ to thaw the ground and start putting foundations in during January or February. Now it's normal.

Breakfast area at the hotel I stayed at was packed with construction crews getting ready to head out to work on a Saturday morning. Overtime work in March is a sign things are booming there right now. Lot of sites just breaking ground around town as well. Maybe some areas are seeing a slow down. Not happening there.

 

[Ballistic]

Anyone who hasn't been ready for an immanent recession for 7 years is a poor student. I've heard a whole lot of "his rick buddies buy up stock cheap" nonsense without any of the posters seeming to realize they too can buy the dip.

 

[mtmiller]

Anyone who hasn't been ready for an immanent recession for 7 years is a poor student.

I am so confused.

 

[Bonasababy]

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/jp-morgan-economist-sees-40-us-recession-chance-risks-exorbitant-privilege-2025-03-12/

 

[TakeABreakAndTouchGrass]

I am so confused.

Anyone who believes the economy ever really recovered from the 2008 crisis is a poor student

*sarcasm

 

[Bonasababy]

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/jp-morgan-economist-sees-40-us-recession-chance-risks-exorbitant-privilege-2025-03-12/

"Where we stand now is with a heightened concern about the U.S. economy," Bruce Kasman, the U.S. investment bank's chief global economist, told reporters in Singapore on Wednesday.

Economists at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley last week downgraded their U.S. GDP growth forecasts and now see growth at 1.7% and 1.5% this year, respectively.

Kasman said the recession risk would rise, probably to 50% or above, if reciprocal tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose from April were to meaningfully come in to force.

"If we would continue down this road of what would be more disruptive, business-unfriendly policies, I think the risks on that recession front would go up," Kasman said.

He also said that discomfort around the administration's style could shake investor faith in U.S. assets if it challenged trust, built over many years, in U.S. markets and institutions.

"The U.S. seems to have established itself as a place where people can be comfortable about rule of law ... comfortable about the integrity of information flow, and they can be comfortable that the government isn't going to be, in unexpected ways, getting involved in the rules of the game," he said.

The administration's cutbacks to government agencies, changes to the U.S. role in the world, and decisions such as a move last week to disband advisory committees assisting with data collection, may undermine that, Kasman said.

"All of those things are part of the uncertainties that have moved into U.S. policy, and that part of the risk in the outlook this year I don't think has been appreciated," he said.

"The term which has been in place for a very long time is that we have 'exorbitant privilege'. That we end up paying a much lower cost for financing our deficits and debt, we have much greater capital flows and attractiveness of the dollar and assets, because of these things," he said.

"The risk that that stuff starts to come under pressure and becomes a structural issue in the markets is not something I would, by any means, underplay."

 

[schmalts]

Anyone who believes the economy ever really recovered from the 2008 crisis is a poor student

*sarcasm

It's all about spending more than you have and printing more to not face reality.