Not Looking Good for November; Dubya's Economy Mis-Fires

[JoseCuervo]

WASHINGTON - The United States unemployment rate held steady in June, but the number of jobs created last month was less than half what economists had been expecting.

The jobless rate remained at 5.6 per cent as 112,000 new jobs were created, the U.S. federal Labour Department reported.

Economists had been expecting about 250,000 new jobs last month.

 

[feclnogn]

112,000

While not 250,00 isn't job growth good? I know in order for your side to win in November you need failure which speaks volumes about how you view life. I personally think it's kind of sad. Wanna bet that these numbers will revise upward in a few weeks. Did you see or hear Greenspans comments on the economy a few day ago gunner???? Like it or not EG the economy is growing and will continue to do so over the next few years barring some major world wide disaster of terror event. But fear not gunner, I think your guy is gonna win and then if February of '05 you can cut and paste all of the stories about the booming economy and how Kerry is responible for that by providing the country with a new optimism.

 

[Tom]

112,000 positive is good and the economists are expecting more, so that sounds good.

The polls (liberal and conservative) are looking up according to humaneventsonline.com

"The nationwide USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll gave Bush a net 7-point jump. In the poll conducted June 3-6, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry led Bush 50% to 44%. But in the same poll conducted June 21-23 (before the surprise June 28 handover of sovereignty to Iraq’s interim government), Bush led Kerry, 49% to 48%.


***

Other polls showed similar trends. A nationwide New York Times poll conducted May 20-23, showed Kerry leading Bush, 49% to 41%. But in the same poll conducted June 23-27, Kerry led Bush by only 45% to 41%. When Ralph Nader was added, Bush led Kerry, 43% to 42%, with Nader taking 5%. A Fox News poll of registered voters conducted June 22-23, put Bush over Kerry, 48% to 42%. When Nader was added, Bush led Kerry, 47% to 40%, with Nader taking 3%. George Washington University’s Battleground Poll put Kerry over Bush, 49% to 48% in March, but in June it had Bush and Kerry exactly tied, 48% to 48%."

The vote is in Nov.

 

[Hangar18]

"Unemployment remains steady at 5.6%. 112,000 new jobs" therefore failure? It must really suck when a nations economic so-called "failure" is another's only path to success.


Idaho must be the only state where the economy is doing well then.

http://www.idahostatesman.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20040703/NEWS01/407030341

Surplus to give state workers a bonus
Legislature OK'd bonus checks in the last session

Gregory Hahn

The Idaho Statesman | Edition Date: 07-03-2004

Idaho's 17,000 regular state employees will get bonus checks averaging a few hundred dollars this summer, thanks to a jump in the economy over the past two months.

Legislators promised the across-the-board 1 percent bonus if state taxes came in over the budget, and there should be at least $11 million left at the end of the fiscal year.

For the average state worker — who makes a little more than $30,000 — the windfall will be around $300.

This is good news, too, for lawmakers and Gov. Dirk Kempthorne because it shows that the economy has improved — especially in the months of May and June.

"We are confident that the two-year budget plan I laid out for the Legislature in January is solidly on track," Kempthorne said.

Legislative analysts think there will be even more money, but state finance chief Brad Foltman cautioned that the numbers still need to be crunched. The fiscal year ended Wednesday, and it could be two weeks before the official count is in.

Lawmakers passed a law dedicating the bonuses if state revenues came in at $5 million more than was budgeted. Kempthorne originally asked for a 2 percent salary boost distributed by merit, and lawmakers approved that, but they tagged on this additional boost as a gesture to state employees who had gone two years without raises.

Almost $8.8 million will end up going to employees.

"We're very excited to get the news," said Stacy Pearson, interim vice president for finance for Boise State University. "I think it's a very positive measure from the Legislature to state employees."

But what is she going to spend hers on?

"I don't know yet," Pearson said. "I haven't really thought about it."

The money will go to workers in lump-sum checks rather than be spread out in regular paychecks.

While individual bonuses and temporary merit pay increases are common in some state agencies, Foltman and others at the Statehouse said they didn't think there had ever been a statewide employee bonus triggered by an end-of-year surplus.

"This is a very happy day for the Legislature," Senate Commerce and Human Resources Chairman John Andreason said. "It isn't often that we get this opportunity."

However, the current economic news may be overshadowed next year when lawmakers face a $180 million hole that will be left when the sales tax goes back down to 5 percent.

They may have to extend the temporary sales tax hike, find some other tax to increase or dive again into budget cuts.

Kempthorne has vowed to let the tax increase expire on time, but his plan would require unprecedented thriftiness by both himself and the Legislature — even with this projected surplus.

Still, lawmakers are optimistic.

"It shows that our economy is turning around," said Boise Rep. Kathie Garrett, a former California state employee who pushed for the bonus plan.

Who gets the money?

When one-time 1 percent bonus checks are written to every state employee, they will really go to every state employee — whether the workers are paid through the general tax fund, special dedicated accounts or federal dollars. So the $5 million boost will actually land about $8.8 million in the hands of the 24,000 state workers. Here's a look at how much money will go to some key agencies

Education

Colleges and Universities: $2.3 million
Superintendent's office: $50,600
Total education (includes just state staffers): $3.2 million

Economic Development

Agriculture: $201,800
Commerce and Labor: $31,200
Self-governing agencies: $222,000
Transportation: $840,300
Total economic development: $1.4 million

Health and Human services

Health and Welfare: $1.4 million
Total health and human services: $1.5 million

Public safety

Correction: $574,300
Idaho State Police: $287,200
Total public safety: $1.1 million

Natural Resources

Environmental Quality: $208,400
Fish and Game: $346,400
Parks and Recreation: $82,500
Total natural resources: $891,800

General Government

Attorney General's office: $121,800
Controller's office: $55,000
Governor's office: $264,000
Legislative Branch: $42,100
Secretary of State's office: $13,100
State Treasurer's office: $10,000
Total general government: $766,600

Total for the whole state

$5 million in general funds
$2.6 million in dedicated funds
$1.2 million in federal funds
$8.8 million total