Randal.....your math is simply smoke and mirrors on the B-11 (deer tag).
6,600x.39%=2574
6,600-2574=4026
That is the correct number. You double dipped.
So, you saying this bill does away with the 2,000 landowner sponsored licenses? No smoke and mirrors. Outfitters would get 2,574, as shown in my calculation, the same as is included in yours.
You seem to think the 2,000 landowner allocation is going away. It is not. I suspect we will see it used even more and fewer unused tags going from that pool to the general pool.
I'm confident in my calculations. What did I "double dip" with?
If we have full allocation of the outfitter pool and the landowner pool, it is exactly as I say; it "could be as low as 31%" for the self-guided non-resident.
I got an email this week with a large MT outfitter promoting two new ranches leased up that have 55,000 and another of 50,000, with advertisements of great private land deer hunts, giving me comfort that if I could bet on the future of where these are going, my money is that this bill would result in greater utilization of the landowner sponsored pool, not less.