JohnCushman
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Invest in hookers and blow
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Using the 3% mortgage vs 6% investment logic, you should always remove all the equity from your house and plug it into the stock market. If the idea of living in a 200k house that you owe $200k on makes you uneasy, also consider the advantages of paying off your mortgage early:Can you guys check me out on some math I've been running this morning? The goal is to see if it makes sense to take the extra $300/Month I can put towards paying down my mortgage quicker, or invest it.
Investing the $300/MO for 30 years, assuming a 6% return, I come up with $294,076 after 30 years.
Paying down the $200,000 (3.75% interest rate) mortgage I come up with $236,879 after 30 years in interest saved, and money invested after early payoff.
-Interest saved I come up with $53,338 - Mortgage is paid off 10 years, 11 months early.
-Investing $1,000/MO for the 10 years 11 months at 6% return is $183,541
I understand this is a pretty simple scenario so if there is something I'm overlooking, please let me know. I have been putting an extra $300/MO towards my mortgage since I bought my house (2 years ago) but I'm beginning to wonder if it would make more sense in mutual funds/index funds. I'm sure there are tax implications that I'm not aware of as well.
Thanks for any advise in advance. I discovered this thread last night and have been reading the bogleheads advise, I'm digging it.
But there are negatives too.Using the 3% mortgage vs 6% investment logic, you should always remove all the equity from your house and plug it into the stock market. If the idea of living in a 200k house that you owe $200k on makes you uneasy, also consider the advantages of paying off your mortgage early:
-Once it’s paid off, you significantly free up your monthly expenses.
-You can’t get evicted
-The next housing bubble won’t put you underwater.
-A lot of your points are tempered if you don’t buy too much house. I have a very affordable house, and pay down the principal, and also invest to the point where the house isn’t the biggest asset. If I can’t pony up the $180 monthly property tax bill I’ve got a lot more serious problems than where to allocate my extra funds to build wealth.But there are negatives too.
- Once that mortgage is paid off you probably have the majority of your net worth in the house. Your liquidity sucks. If you invested instead, you would have liquid (but volatile) assets. The expenses may be "freed" up, but the person will still need to invest for retirement. So maybe it isn't freed up.
- you can get evicted. You still have to pay insurance and taxes. Once the mortgage is gone, you have to pay the taxes yourself. You might be surprised (or might not) that there is a whole industry set up to pay delinquent tax payments so they can take possession of the property through a tax lien.
- True, but you might have just spent $200k on a house now worth $125K. Still not going to feel great.
I agee 100% that the numbers say you should alway put the money towards the highest returning asset. But what he should do is based on what makes him feel most comfortable. I am like you, everything is fully paid for even though it is not economically rational to do that. I still "pay" the equivalent to the previous mortgage into an investment account. I try to find a way to justify it, but I know it isn't rational. The human mind does funny things.
So a housing bubble is both a positive and a negative in the same context? I owned a house in the last housing bubble and I didn't find anything advantageous about it. If I sold it at its inflated value I would have to buy another house at an inflated value. I could rent, but those values were inflated as well and the wife was not big on the idea . If you want to invest in RE and hope for another housing bubble I wish you luck. Especially given we currently are probably in the second housing bubble of my life time, and ironically, the second in the last 100 yrs.-It might be advantageous to have your residence be your biggest asset in some scenarios anyways, such as rapidly increasing property values in some locations.
I took it as he is asking what the impact is on each incremental extra dollar. In that case it really doesn't matter what price house he buys.-A lot of your points are tempered if you don’t buy too much house. I have a very affordable house, and pay down the principal, and also invest to the point where the house isn’t the biggest asset. If I can’t pony up the $180 monthly property tax bill I’ve got a lot more serious problems than where to allocate my extra funds to build wealth.
Another option I’m looking at is refinancing to a 15 year mortgage at a lower interest rate which would save a big chunk of change on the cost of the loan.
The thing I notice with your questions is that you want to pay off the loan as quickly as possible. The way to think about a 30yr vs 15yr is that you can take a 30yr mortgage and pay it off in 15yrs if you pay the same principal amt in the 15yr amortization schedule. the interest will be higher, but the time frame the same. The 30yr gives you the option to have a lower required payment. The cost of that option is the difference in the rate between a 30yr and 15yr.Another option I’m looking at is refinancing to a 15 year mortgage at a lower interest rate which would save a big chunk of change on the cost of the loan.
Can you guys check me out on some math I've been running this morning? The goal is to see if it makes sense to take the extra $300/Month I can put towards paying down my mortgage quicker, or invest it.
Investing the $300/MO for 30 years, assuming a 6% return, I come up with $294,076 after 30 years.
Paying down the $200,000 (3.75% interest rate) mortgage I come up with $236,879 after 30 years in interest saved, and money invested after early payoff.
-Interest saved I come up with $53,338 - Mortgage is paid off 10 years, 11 months early.
-Investing $1,000/MO for the 10 years 11 months at 6% return is $183,541
I understand this is a pretty simple scenario so if there is something I'm overlooking, please let me know. I have been putting an extra $300/MO towards my mortgage since I bought my house (2 years ago) but I'm beginning to wonder if it would make more sense in mutual funds/index funds. I'm sure there are tax implications that I'm not aware of as well.
Thanks for any advise in advance. I discovered this thread last night and have been reading the bogleheads advise, I'm digging it.
Worked for Hunter BidenInvest in hookers and blow
I’d worry about what to do with that $300 after you get your refi done. 30 year rates are 3% or less and 15 year are 2.5% or less right now. Good money to be saved if you’re at 3.75%. Get that rate locked in - good luck.Can you guys check me out on some math I've been running this morning? The goal is to see if it makes sense to take the extra $300/Month I can put towards paying down my mortgage quicker, or invest it.
Investing the $300/MO for 30 years, assuming a 6% return, I come up with $294,076 after 30 years.
Paying down the $200,000 (3.75% interest rate) mortgage I come up with $236,879 after 30 years in interest saved, and money invested after early payoff.
-Interest saved I come up with $53,338 - Mortgage is paid off 10 years, 11 months early.
-Investing $1,000/MO for the 10 years 11 months at 6% return is $183,541
I understand this is a pretty simple scenario so if there is something I'm overlooking, please let me know. I have been putting an extra $300/MO towards my mortgage since I bought my house (2 years ago) but I'm beginning to wonder if it would make more sense in mutual funds/index funds. I'm sure there are tax implications that I'm not aware of as well.
Thanks for any advise in advance. I discovered this thread last night and have been reading the bogleheads advise, I'm digging it.
I think that is a great way to do it, but keep in mind you had 40yrs of declining interest rates to provide a tailwind to that strategy. I don’t see any reason interest rates will rise, but anything is possible. Your strategy in a rising rate environment will not have the same result.We leveraged or bought with as little down a possible, took all the depreciation available to us each year ( taxes ) and let each real estate investment pay itself off.
Art - I get roughly the same numbers you do. SAJ-99 made a really good point that you only have to look at the difference at the point the loan is paid off. Investing at 6% is always better than investing at 3.75%, but 3.75% is guaranteed and 6% is not, which can be important. On the other hand you have to pay taxes up front on the money used to get that 3.75%, etc. You can make this complicated and optimize things, but I bet your best option is to make the biggest monthly contribution you can into an S&P500 index fund in a 401k or IRA. For the first ten years the amount of money in your account is mostly determined by the amount of your monthly contribution.Can you guys check me out on some math I've been running this morning? The goal is to see if it makes sense to take the extra $300/Month I can put towards paying down my mortgage quicker, or invest it.
Investing the $300/MO for 30 years, assuming a 6% return, I come up with $294,076 after 30 years.
Paying down the $200,000 (3.75% interest rate) mortgage I come up with $236,879 after 30 years in interest saved, and money invested after early payoff.
-Interest saved I come up with $53,338 - Mortgage is paid off 10 years, 11 months early.
-Investing $1,000/MO for the 10 years 11 months at 6% return is $183,541
I understand this is a pretty simple scenario so if there is something I'm overlooking, please let me know. I have been putting an extra $300/MO towards my mortgage since I bought my house (2 years ago) but I'm beginning to wonder if it would make more sense in mutual funds/index funds. I'm sure there are tax implications that I'm not aware of as well.
Thanks for any advise in advance. I discovered this thread last night and have been reading the bogleheads advise, I'm digging it.