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For the most part there isn't a great deal of practical difference between 2950 fps and say 3025 fps out to a few hundred yards as far as the game is concerned.
I'd use the manuals or other published data as a guide and check several to see how much they agree for a certain bullet weight and powder. I'm told that bolt lift is a better indicator of pressure than primer flatness since different brands of primers are of different hardness. Usually the Remington 9 1/2 are the hardest with Federal generally the softest.
Here is some published data for the 6.5-06 that can't possibly be right.
6.5-06 at https://imrpowder.com/warning/
I use 129 and/or 130 grain bullets interchangeably.
I routinely use up to 54 grains of IMR 4831 with a Federal 210 match primer and 129 grain or 130 grain Hornady or Sierra TGKs and don't see a pressure issue. The bolt lift is ok and the primers don't look flat hardly. I likely could creep higher, but don't see a lot of point to it.
I may contact them and see what they have to say about it.
I've shot some factory ammo from Federal that came back primers so flat I'd I've been nervous about it if I'd loaded it.I've noticed my above max loads still show less pressure signs than a lot of factory ammo, I know there's lots of variables in that as well like primer and brass hardness though.
Federal was the brand that came to mind for me as well. IIRC they have soft primers though...I've shot some factory ammo from Federal that came back primers so flat I'd I've been nervous about it if I'd loaded it.
I have fired rifles that flattened primers badly. I had a Savage 7 mag that just did that with about all loads, except moderate hand loads. It shot lights out, but for some reason, the way the bolt face was, or something, it flattened primers. I got to where I ignored it. I shot the gun for 30 years.I've noticed my above max loads still show less pressure signs than a lot of factory ammo, I know there's lots of variables in that as well like primer and brass hardness though.
Flat primer's aren't necessarily a pressure sign. Could be nothing more than a primer with soft cups. A flat primer that is flat all the way across the pocket, is a pressure sign. Anything much less and I'd look for other sign's to go with it. Sticky bolt, extractor mark on the back of the case are better pressure signs. If your reloading and get loose primer pocket's on the first reload, your way over pressure. Primer pocket's will naturally get loose over time, how soon depends on the pressure's you run. I found loose primer pocket's can be adjusted too. Guy told me about a tool he got from Hart gunsmith to tighten the pockets and it works. Something to keep in mind though is if the pocket is loose, the head is enlarged. Forgot that one. Measuring the case head is a good sign. New case's I've always found expand a bit, pretty normal. But not beyond the spec in the reloading manuals! That's pretty important. It won't necessarily ruin the case but it will expand the primer pocket. That little ring that you sometime's see around the firing pin dent is not a pressure sigh. Usually what that is is a firing pin hole in the bolt that a bit to big!
Some of the older reloading books have the same load with 3 to 7% more powder. If you know what your doing and read the signs the max book numbers are just a go-by guide. At the end of the day what really matters is a good group and low SDV.
I wonder if they list the max load under what the actual max load really is for safety and liability reasons???I have always been way too anal about not going over max recommended loads listed in the load manuals. Call it afraid or cautious, I don't usually load to the max. However, lately I have ignored my own advice and went over max recommendations with now signs of excess pressure on the case. Also, I worked up to max levels years ago with the current manual of that time. Today, with newer manuals, the max load is lower by 2 or 3 grains than in the manual used in the past. I called Sierra Tech Support and the consultant stated that this is due to the use of different rifles, powder lots, and testing conditions. Is it really that bad to go over, or is it common to exceed max recommendations using caution and watching for pressure signs? What do you do when chasing better groups and higher speeds? Any comments will be appreciated.