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Wait a minute! That's MINE!!!
What? It was 48hrs ago! Not like I had to go searching for it. My point is the argument for it as a store of value or an inflation hedge doesn’t have much credibility when you lose 17% in less than the time it takes to eat a sandwich. It needs to figure that out to become anything more than a lottery ticket.Cherry picking info much? What's it done in the last two weeks, two month, six months, year?
Serious question @Flatrock, @TOGIE, @ajricketts and anybody else that is following crypto...
Where do you think BTC & ETH are on 12/31/2021?
I'll say BTC at $50-60k and ETH at $6-7k
I have said for years that there is a market for an active cryptocurrency fund that is diversified in the main ones, can keep track of the potential regulatory news flow and impact, and can actively trade/hedge the position. It took them longer to get there than I would have thought.
I have to disagree. Not a lot of them and everything is tilted toward the retail investor (ETFs) or something the wealth management team sticks in HNW portfolios. I mean institutional-quality funds with the full support of banks sales staff behind it. Something that a pension fund or consultant would look at and not think it was clown show just created to suck in high fees. Those clients have to worry that if BTC went from $35k back to $5k they wouldn't lose their job for the bad investment. Those types of products are rare. I suspect it is because people are still trying to figure out what they (CC's)are. Is it a USD substitute or like gold or what? If you want it to go to $100k, you have to fix the volatility problem. I think futures contracts have helped, but there are still flaws in those.Not really sure what you mean. There are plenty of crypto funds. Additionally, various institutions have been trying for many years to get crypto ETFs off the ground and the SEC never approves them.
I have to disagree. Not a lot of them and everything is tilted toward the retail investor (ETFs) or something the wealth management team sticks in HNW portfolios. I mean institutional-quality funds with the full support of banks sales staff behind it. Something that a pension fund or consultant would look at and not think it was clown show just created to suck in high fees. Those clients have to worry that if BTC went from $35k back to $5k they wouldn't lose their job for the bad investment. Those types of products are rare. I suspect it is because people are still trying to figure out what they (CC's)are. Is it a USD substitute or like gold or what? If you want it to go to $100k, you have to fix the volatility problem. I think futures contracts have helped, but there are still flaws in those.
Yeah, but more than just a MF. I think Fidelity announced one recently for HNW. Maybe something like a hedge fund. Mostly the difference is the marketing effort behind it. It is tough because the main purpose (inflation hedge) is to be long, but no institutional investor wants to be long if you drop 50%, which is a risk that constantly exists. That is why I suggested a diversified fund (even though the currencies remain highly correlated) and ability to hedge. That is limited because I don't think you can't short crypto, only the futures contract.You mean somebody like Fidelity opening up a fund?
Updated price - $5,000 is now worth $474,000I wish I was the "fool" that put $5,000 in BTC five years ago. It would be worth $429,000 today.
Gotcha. Yea I'm not sure how willing someone like Fidelity is to do that. Would definitely be plenty of issues to deal with. I'm sure eventually, there will be more mainstream ETFs but who knows when. Feel like the best way to hedge is simply to have a very small position.... Anywho, will be interesting to watch the roller coaster that bitcoin is!Yeah, but more than just a MF. I think Fidelity announced one recently for HNW. Maybe something like a hedge fund. Mostly the difference is the marketing effort behind it. It is tough because the main purpose (inflation hedge) is to be long, but no institutional investor wants to be long if you drop 50%, which is a risk that constantly exists. That is why I suggested a diversified fund (even though the currencies remain highly correlated) and ability to hedge. That is limited because I don't think you can't short crypto, only the futures contract.
I saw that earlier tonight too. Crazy.Something to consider. Nothing wrong with buying and checking in 10yrs, but don't forget the password.
"Cryptocurrency data firm Chainalysis said it estimated that about 20% of the existing 18.5m bitcoins appears to be lost or stranded in inaccessible wallets."
https://www.theguardian.com/technol...rammer-locked-out-of-his-130m-bitcoin-account
How so?Personally, I think the economic system of our country is extremely broken.
How so?
I have one of those. Someday it will be worth more than 1/500th of a cent, and I'll be living the high life.
In my opinion, it comes down to several things. The first is the way in which our government continually prints money as if it's not a big deal while our debt level soars sky high. I also think that we live in a society in which the vast majority lack delayed gratification, and thus we will in an environment based upon consumerism and debt. Ultimately, I believe it results in hyperinflation, a decrease in the value of the dollar, and the potential for an economic fallout. Time will tell.How so?
I've been hearing that since I was a little kid. Yes, at some point the debt will matter but it might be 50, 100, 200+ years before it matters. Maybe someday, our debt situation will improve. There have been occasional hiccups but the economy/stock market hasn't hardly ever cared about government debt.In my opinion, it comes down to several things. The first is the way in which our government continually prints money as if it's not a big deal while our debt level soars sky high. I also think that we live in a society in which the vast majority lack delayed gratification, and thus we will in an environment based upon consumerism and debt. Ultimately, I believe it results in hyperinflation, a decrease in the value of the dollar, and the potential for an economic fallout. Time will tell.