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Tariffs and Potential Inflation
Agree that I think he meant "view". And I think that is downplaying it. There is no economic model that say that tariffs on imports don't increases prices for buyers. Maybe there are one that gets a different result that involves taking psychedelics before running the model. 🤷♂️ Sure, I would...- SAJ-99
- Post #23
- Forum: Money and Finances
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Tariffs and Potential Inflation
Sorry, I overemphasized you comment. Sure they go into the government checking account, but they don’t amount to much. With $4.7T in revenue, tariffs are well under 5% of that. Again, small and targeted. And let me be clear, democrats historically love tariffs. It’s not a political thing...- SAJ-99
- Post #16
- Forum: Money and Finances
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Tariffs and Potential Inflation
Tariffs are complicated, but they certainly don't come close to paying for the government operations. What we know is that they make things cost more. This is undeniable. They also have a long history of not being very effective. Tariffs on steel didn't save the steel industry. Tariffs on lumber...- SAJ-99
- Post #12
- Forum: Money and Finances
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Tariffs and Potential Inflation
All of this is IMO. Most economic forecast come from economic models. As the saying goes, all models are wrong, some are useful. Every model says these tariffs increase prices to the US consumer. Only way to look at it is either the seller eats some of the increase in cost (resulting in lower...- SAJ-99
- Post #2
- Forum: Money and Finances
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
Maybe. But if you feel like progress is being made through counterfactual arguments you have set the bar pretty low. -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
Oh complete agree. But I think data about dead stuff is about as reactionary as it gets. -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
I get a lot of these emails every season. You want to apply for a NR razor clam tag. :ROFLMAO: -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
All automated. And it doesn’t improve hunting at all. -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
I agree. But “the data is bullshit” just distracts from the real work that is needed. -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
I know, but it does. There is little difference between getting all 200,000 people to report and randomly calling 30,000. I know it may not seem that way, but it gets you close enough for government work. 😂 -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
I don't mean to be argumentative, but the fact the everyone is required to report is the least important part of this whole thing. Sampling isn't the problem. MT uses a very large sample for the data. A VERY large sample. And the data isn't shit because they use phone calls for sampling. The... -
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
Statistically, the methods are insignificantly different. It’s basically the same questions. Most of the benefit comes in my tag being unit specific. But on the other points, timing, ease, and being mandatory, I agree it is better. -
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SD's Thune picked to head Senate
If you are holding out for a non-yes-man to save the day, it’s going to be a long four years.- SAJ-99
- Post #25
- Forum: Sportsmen Issues
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SD's Thune picked to head Senate
You might be correct, but I assure you it won't be his choice to make.- SAJ-99
- Post #22
- Forum: Sportsmen Issues
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Montana season structure proposal 2.0
My ID deer survey is below. Not exactly a cornucopia of data. Statistically speaking, the answer MT gave you is generally correct. I can speculate if my answer was YES to the ID harvest ? , ID would have given me more ?'s to answer. Maybe someone else can help on that. Mostly I think these... -
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Oh, the irony!
But opinions on Nuclear energy, no problem??? :ROFLMAO: Just giving you shit because you're the new guy. Happy Friday.- SAJ-99
- Post #300
- Forum: Public Land Issues
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Oh, the irony!
The market will dictate the course of action on a lot of things. The entire oil forward curve is below the cost of production for anything in ANWR, and OPEC is sitting on a bunch of past production cuts they would like to eliminate. Rock meets hard place. I know what the promise was, but O&G...- SAJ-99
- Post #287
- Forum: Public Land Issues
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Oh, the irony!
We will see, all I ask is that people keep watching. Got this news this am. Made me laugh a little. Russia Envoy Backs Paris Climate Deal, Hopes Trump Will Too https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-15/russia-envoy-backs-paris-climate-deal-hopes-trump-will-too- SAJ-99
- Post #278
- Forum: Public Land Issues
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Oh, the irony!
Lots of NIMBY to wade through. But also lots of aging nuclear in your area that could use some help. Curious as to where 9000 acres of solar is going in IL. That seems like a lot for the area. Trump will listen to businesses. It is the one benefit of his transactional beliefs. He will still...- SAJ-99
- Post #270
- Forum: Public Land Issues
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Oh, the irony!
Honestly, I wouldn't worry about the energy stuff much. Drill baby drill sounds great on the campaign trail, but with O&G prices where they are, no one is interested in ANWR leases (similar to 2020, below) because of the cost. Renewable tax credits have been around for almost 20yrs and big...- SAJ-99
- Post #267
- Forum: Public Land Issues
