Red-Team 98
Active member
- Joined
- Dec 18, 2022
- Messages
- 306
For the US I agree with all you said.That’s mostly due to rock bottom service cost due to pandemic contracts and consumption patterns settling back to normal.
2023 services have sky rocketed, a 20-21 well might have cost $5MM to drill, same well in 23’ costs $10MM.
The haynesville + lack of takeaway + warm winter has crushed NG.
Rig counts need to drop.
Add to all that capital in 23 is incredibly expensive.
I’d temper expectations.
But that China reopening is already impacting our oil production with 10 China Super tankers now at US ports filling up and China Is trying to lease more supertankers.
Demand for US oil abroad is going to be enormous. China Reopening is really going to steam ahead in 4th Quarter 2023.