I hope your daughter draws her tag. I am not super confident with a 2.5 point "buffer" in the special for my tag, I'm anticipating some massive point creep this year.
After getting "creeped out" in CO I'm in the special antelope draw with 2.5 more points than it took last year. They cut tags 38% so I'm not holding my breath!
I put in for 2nd season deer in CO with just about a 2 point "surplus" and they added 20% more tags. I didn't draw but 19% of the folks at my point level did. I knew the unit/area was getting stupid amounts of hype so I knew the risk and now find myself in the special draw for WY antelope with...
I lost out on 2nd season deer in CO with an almost 2 point cushion and a 20 tag increase. My backup plan is central WY antelope with 7 points in the special draw. That is a 2.5 point cushion and my confidence isn't too high at all.