Not to highjack the thread, but that’s kinda wild, @glass eye Ending your world slam with an Eastern is like finishing off your North American 29 with a whitetail. Congrats, @singleshot1 Beautiful birds
If you’re hauling a camper, I’d choose Gros Ventre Campground. Make a reservation. The river is close by and the kids will love splashing around. You’ll probably see moose. There will be a lot of tourist activity, but I wouldn’t let that bother you. People like the place, for good reason. I’d...
As stated previously, what MT reports is NOT the draw odds. It’s simply a report of how it played out. If 3 guys applied with 10 points and 1 drew, that does not mean odds of drawing were 33.3%. It simply means that 33.3% of those applying with 10 points drew. Again, that’s not the same as their...
I believe this assumption is false, which is why this gets interesting. Last year in MT R3 for goat in the districts where an NR was eligible, about 3400 NRs applied and about 9000 Rs applied, which makes NRs about 27% of the applicant pool. So if about 27% of the pool is NRs but they are...
I’m sure you’re good at your job, but hardly anything about calculating NR draw odds across the American West is as simple as you just suggested. Even the no-point states have nuances that muddy the waters (see NM 1st/2nd/3rd choice). If it were easy as dumping last year’s data into Excel, these...
Is this still for goat unit 329? If so, this proves that my suspicion is valid. Let’s take my point level as an example. With 19 points in 2023, GoHunt says “2.5%” And toprut (see post 19) says “17%”
That’s a bit of a difference. Unfortunately, I believe GoHunt
Well, a couple of things: The toprut figures changed significantly from 2022 to 2023, more than I would suspect from just another year of draw system maturation. Also, I believe the NR regional cap has to make some sort of material impact on NR draw odds for sheep/goat even in a situation like...
I believe HF uses toprut, and those are the numbers that triggered my questions. I'd love to see/hear what gohunt says about those NR odds and compare the two. Toprut has the odds virtually identical for R & NR for many MT goat hunts in Region 3, for example.
I’m one of you, and I’m curious if anyone has out there has taken this next level and subscribed to both toprut and gohunt. How do the draw odds calculations compare? I’m only on toprut, and I swear there are some crazy weird numbers out there that I have a tough time believing, particularly...
If HT is a solid representative slice of the hunting community, why are the sheep tags I’m chasing so stinking hard to draw? 😀 Back to the OP’s question:
I’m not big on exotics. All that stuff in NM and TX that doesn’t belong. I can’t get excited about it.