Kenetrek Boots

Search results

  1. Mighty Mouse

    Heavy arrow tuning struggles

    I see two nock low left tears, two nock low right, and two nock even-ish right. If each pair of like tears is from the same arrow, you might be able to get a consistent tear across arrows via nock tuning. If a single arrow is producing different tears on consecutive shots, it's likely due to...
  2. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    I thought that might be the case. With 26 tags it's still possible that 1 NR tag could've been awarded randomly without violating the 20% NR cap or 20% random cap. The fact that it didn't shake out that way seems to confirm that a NR will only have a chance in the random portion of the hybrid...
  3. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    I'm sure NR caps and low tag quotas are the main reasons few NR's are getting anything via the hybrid draw. But for some codes on the hybrid draw list, at least 1 tag could have been awarded to a randomly drawn NR while staying below the 20% NR cap and the 20% random cap but was not. EE002E1R...
  4. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    I looked at results for all codes on the 2022 hybrid draw list and only found one (AM003O1R) where NR's actually got tags via the hybrid draw. So yes, it appears that the hybrid draw is mostly a farce for NR's. The brochure makes it sound like 20% of tags will be set aside to be awarded via...
  5. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    Although random draw isn’t my preferred system, I fully agree with a sit out provision.
  6. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    Death rates are sub 1% up to approximately age 60. The 16% attrition rate in your model would have to consist of much more voluntary giving up than dying over the age range of the hypothetical youngster chasing a top tier tag.
  7. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    "Reasonable amount of time" is subjective. You define it at 5 years, I think preference point systems can work fine well beyond that...neither opinion is objectively correct. As you're probably aware, Colorado has a hybrid system (80% preference point, 20% random with 5 point minimum) for some...
  8. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    The attrition you speak of is a voluntary choice to quit trying. If someone wants the "best" tag in Colorado, the path to it is clear: start early, apply every year, and be patient. If a 30 point tag like CO unit 201 elk were converted to random draw and had 4% draw odds (on par with NR odds...
  9. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    To use the extreme case as an example, are you saying that if a 12 year old (minimum age to begin applying in Colorado) starts building points now, he'll never reach the top pointholders pool?
  10. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    Perhaps this is what you have in mind? Below is the binomial probability distribution of drawing a tag with 10% odds per year "x" times over 20 years. The general formula is: P=p^x*(1-p)^(n-x)*n!/x!(n-x)! n = number of attempts x = number of occurrences p = probability per attempt Excel's...
  11. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    The formula for cumulative probability ("P") of one occurrence of a result with individual probability ("p") over a given number of attempts ("n") is: P = 1–(1–p)^n Below is a cumulative probability curve for one occurrence of an event with 10% individual probability. This may be the same...
  12. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    Colorado implemented preference points before I was born, so I don't know how the system was originally "marketed" to hunters; if claims were made of "guaranteed" tags, then yes, that was misleading. The only guarantee in a preference point system is that higher point holders are given...
  13. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    Point creep isn't a flaw in the preference point system; it's the natural consequence of demand for tags exceeding the available supply. The same factors that cause creep in a preference point system also exist in bonus point and random draw systems, they just manifest as continually decreasing...
  14. Mighty Mouse

    The future of Preference Points

    I may be in the minority, but I like a true preference point system (like Colorado's) because it gives me the ability to plan hunts years in advance with some degree of confidence about when I'll draw the tag.
  15. Mighty Mouse

    Colorado 2nd Draw?

    For those claiming that giving youth preference in the secondary draw is the only way youth applicants will ever have a chance at some of these tags...how do you figure that they would never be able to draw as adults in the primary draw? These applicants are under 18 and are (presumably)...
  16. Mighty Mouse

    Freeze Dried Meals

    Mountain House chili mac is my old standby and typically comprises about half of my rations on any given trip. The other half is chosen from an assortment of Peak Refuel and Alpine Aire meals that I've accumulated over the years. I usually buy a Peak Refuel "weekender" bundle from Black Ovis...
  17. Mighty Mouse

    Solid Broadheads?

    I've been happy with my Cutthroat single bevels.
  18. Mighty Mouse

    Best Archery Shop... Colorado Edition

    Rocky Mountain Specialty Gear in Wheat Ridge is a great shop. They specialize in traditional bows but sell and service compounds as well.
  19. Mighty Mouse

    Insert compatibility

    If you don't want to use a half-out, your only two options for a 5mm/.204" arrow are a HIT or an Easton Deep Six RPS insert. The Deep Six RPS insert is an "old-fashioned" flanged insert scaled down to fit inside a 5mm/.204" shaft. As a consequence of its smaller size, it has 6-40 threads...
  20. Mighty Mouse

    Insert compatibility

    None of Easton's 5mm insert/half-out offerings are compatible with screw-in rear weights. Black Eagle, Gold Tip, and Victory all make 5mm/.204" half-outs with rear-facing threads that accept screw-in weights. The shank diameter is the same on all of these half-outs, and they will all fit inside...
MTNTOUGH - Use promo code RANDY for 30 days free

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
112,937
Messages
2,004,705
Members
35,903
Latest member
Jg722

Share this page

Back
Top